Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.179544 0.207762 0.238936 0.275927 0.318629 0.366383 0.423856
2025-10-05 0.140134 0.179407 0.227287 0.289952 0.369840 0.468342 0.599152
2025-10-12 0.117725 0.161656 0.218996 0.299317 0.408997 0.553681 0.759369
2025-10-19 0.101916 0.148190 0.212047 0.306597 0.443155 0.633499 0.919564
2025-10-26 0.088852 0.135766 0.203709 0.309262 0.469305 0.703283 1.072277
2025-11-02 0.077007 0.123015 0.192588 0.305431 0.484135 0.756790 1.205722
2025-11-09 0.066035 0.109864 0.178813 0.295133 0.486816 0.790907 1.311717
2025-11-16 0.060345 0.104243 0.175870 0.301189 0.515434 0.867792 1.493651
2025-11-23 0.054721 0.097916 0.170846 0.302872 0.536484 0.933873 1.664190
2025-11-30 0.050411 0.093246 0.167937 0.307563 0.562763 1.010881 1.861295
2025-12-07 0.045054 0.086007 0.159638 0.301550 0.569045 1.053141 2.000291
2025-12-14 0.040720 0.080108 0.153023 0.297710 0.578562 1.101663 2.155330
2025-12-21 0.037536 0.076104 0.149618 0.299812 0.600053 1.175601 2.369160
2025-12-28 0.036171 0.075517 0.152679 0.314862 0.648475 1.306145 2.709176
2026-01-04 0.034372 0.073815 0.153313 0.325031 0.688116 1.423418 3.035381
2026-01-11 0.032504 0.071731 0.152908 0.332935 0.723830 1.536278 3.364791
2026-01-18 0.030346 0.068758 0.150305 0.335829 0.749139 1.630034 3.663658
2026-01-25 0.027802 0.064628 0.144770 0.331670 0.758557 1.690841 3.896873
2026-02-01 0.024973 0.059515 0.136522 0.320489 0.750995 1.713735 4.047169
2026-02-08 0.023745 0.057971 0.136075 0.327064 0.784612 1.831566 4.428727
2026-02-15 0.022288 0.055707 0.133725 0.328891 0.807263 1.926601 4.766879
2026-02-22 0.021166 0.054126 0.132793 0.333984 0.838215 2.043974 5.171620
2026-03-01 0.019433 0.050820 0.127376 0.327456 0.839953 2.091844 5.409930